tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8475490382072360373.post107900255769797033..comments2008-08-15T18:18:09.870+01:00Comments on Hello World: Data Inaccuracies in Polls and SurveysWojciechhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11910445873018872131noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8475490382072360373.post-86040300666503148602008-08-15T18:18:00.000+01:002008-08-15T18:18:00.000+01:00Just thought I would point out that the two source...Just thought I would point out that the two sources you cite for prediction market results are showing two different things. The IEM one is for voter share. The Intrade one is Winner-Take-All. If you compare apples to apples, both IEM and Intrade give comparable probabilities of Obama winning (a little over 60% at the moment).cmonsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16477433694712912383noreply@blogger.com